tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5544661968326910027.post6608561662889499155..comments2024-02-05T02:24:14.386-08:00Comments on Three J's Learning: Election analysisJGR314http://www.blogger.com/profile/11702319994021721608noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5544661968326910027.post-36324783144420196132016-11-27T18:43:39.754-08:002016-11-27T18:43:39.754-08:00Perhaps this is just confirmation bias, but I didn...Perhaps this is just confirmation bias, but I didn't seek these out. Two more very good discussions of factors around the US election:<br />(1) Vi Hart looks at an important demographic divide (old vs young voters) and also flags factors behind party identification: <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Td5xFxiEuQQ" rel="nofollow">The Great Divide</a><br /><br />(2) Brendan Nyhan on Julia Galef's podcast, <a href="http://rationallyspeakingpodcast.org/show/rs-173-brendan-nyhan-on-what-can-we-learn-from-the-election.html" rel="nofollow">Rationally Speaking</a>. Brendan starts out with the baseline macro political expectation that it would be a tight race with generic republican slightly favored, people generically voted along with their party affiliation. They also explore issues in the primary process that contributed to the outcome: bonuses for state winners, earlier/rushed process, crowded field of candidates splitting "establishment" vote, skewed candidate incentives.JGR314https://www.blogger.com/profile/11702319994021721608noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5544661968326910027.post-41625165483664709312016-11-21T00:58:17.167-08:002016-11-21T00:58:17.167-08:00EducationRealist, a Trump supporter since the prim...EducationRealist, a Trump supporter since the primaries, illustrates my claim that Trump support in the general was just Republicans supporting their candidate:<br /><br />“Hey, I’m a Republican. It’s kind of what we do—you know, vote for Republicans.”<br /><br />See his <a href="https://educationrealist.wordpress.com/2016/11/19/celebrating-trump-in-a-deep-blue-land/" rel="nofollow">full post here</a>. My two quibbles would be the claim (a) that this election was about ideas and (b) whether the support for Trump was enthusiastic (in aggregate).JGR314https://www.blogger.com/profile/11702319994021721608noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5544661968326910027.post-87384487815455066662016-11-21T00:54:46.372-08:002016-11-21T00:54:46.372-08:00This tweetstorm, written by Brendan Nyhan during t...This <a href="https://storify.com/DemFromCT/brendan-nyhan-on-the-mutifactorial-institutional-f" rel="nofollow">tweetstorm</a>, written by Brendan Nyhan during the primary period, makes the same claim I did about racial/economic pressures: they are not new or heightened in 2016.JGR314https://www.blogger.com/profile/11702319994021721608noreply@blogger.com